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orgin

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Posts posted by orgin

    Player count

    in General Discussion

    Posted

     

    Sorry what? Firstly you say that isn't a full year and you need a year's results to test the increase. Now your claiming you need 2 years?

     

     

     

    Sorry but what about the natural variations of next year? :wall:

     

     

     

    It's a full year, but since the summer months (northern hemisphere) ends up towards the end of the graph it will tilt the trend curve upwards.

     

     

     

    Natural variations, September to April have a relatively coherent number of player variations, May through August has a [bleep]e due to summer breaks on the northern hemisphere.

     

     

     

    In the example posted the summer [bleep]e is put at the end of the graph, which naturally tilts the trend curve upwards.

     

     

     

    Take a snapshot from May to April and it will tilt the result downwards.

     

     

     

    What I meant in the first post was that placing the graph from January to December would put it (the summer [bleep]e) in the middle and have less effect on the trend outcome.

     

     

     

    To get a more reliable result you would have to compare two years however (my second post) since the data from within a single year varies too much (particularly the summer [bleep]e) to make any solid conclusions from it.

     

     

     

    You could also compare it month by month (ie jan 2008 to Jan 2009) or even week by week (w1 2008 to w1 2009, though weeks would probably be less reliable).

     

     

     

    The graph only shows that more players are playing the game due to summer breaks, but it does not show you the overall trend or whether less/more players are playing due to updates.

     

     

     

    Compare it to weather, sure you can see that the weather is getting warmer as winter ends. But you can't see if the climate as a whole is changing by just looking at a randomly positioned one year data set.

    Player count

    in General Discussion

    Posted

    Funny how the trend line is positive. Never would have expected that.

     

     

     

    That's probably just due to the number of people playing during the summer months. Can't really see the trend until the whole year is sampled.

     

    Eh? That *is* a whole year sampled. There is an increase during the summer months, but the graph tells us that the player count has been rising the whole year, on average.

     

     

     

     

     

    My point is that the summer month are placed towards the end of the graph. If you took a snapshot where those months are in the middle or in the beginning you would get another result.

     

     

     

    The only way to get a useful result is to compare two full years due to the natural variations during a single year.

    Player count

    in General Discussion

    Posted

    Funny how the trend line is positive. Never would have expected that.

     

     

     

    That's probably just due to the number of people playing during the summer months. Can't really see the trend until the whole year is sampled.

    Player count

    in General Discussion

    Posted

    Could be interesting to compare over several months.

     

    Maybe an archive of each month should be saved?

     

     

     

    I will keep all data so anything is possible.

     

     

     

    I also have a year graph, but it doesn't show much yet (obviously) but I'll upload that one too once there's a month or two of data.

     

     

     

    It will be interesting to see how the graph changes due to JaGeX updating (or downgrading) the game.

    Player count

    in General Discussion

    Posted

    yeah very interesting, how are you getting the datas?

     

     

     

    I wrote a php script that fetch the current number of players from the RS homepage.

     

     

     

    I automatically fetch once every hour, 24 hours a day and store all values in a database.

     

     

     

    After that I simply wrote another php script that creates a graph from the stored values.

     

     

     

    No manual labor is required. Well, except for uploading the image and posting about it here.

    Armadyl Guardian

    in General Discussion

    Posted

    Btw, for those that haven't figured it out.

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Movario is located in the Dorgesh-Kaan South Dungeon. Use whatever means you want to get to Dorgesh-Kaan, run to the bank to get the items mentioned below and then run to the far south go up&down the different stairs until you reach the agility course.

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    You need the following to talk to Movario and his bodyguard:

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    - Mith grapple

     

     

     

    - Crossbow

     

     

     

    - Pendant of lucien (equipped)

     

     

     

    - Ring of charos (equipped) Only tested with (a) version

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    You get to them in the agility course. At the start go west over the first grapple pylon using your mith grapple. Then talk to either of Movario or Darve.

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    When it comes up during the conversation, make them notice your pendant of lucien. And then try to become the new bodyguard. Movario will then explain what he is doing there.

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