Crafting multiple runes per ess

[Youmu]

The multiple crafting update made it so that according to your runecrafting level, you might craft another rune out of an essence.

 

For example at 33 rc you can craft 4 air runes per essence, and during the span of 34-44 you have a chance of crafting a 5th as well.

 

Question is how exactly does this "chance" work? Is it linear as you go along? Like for example every 11 levels you get another air rune per essence, so let's use the 33 rc example again. Is 34 rc a 1/11 chance of crafting an extra air rune, 35 rc a 2/11 chance, etc till 44 rc being 11/11 (guaranteed 5 air runes per ess)?

 

Or is this totally different? Last time I heard, 90 rc only gives you a 60% chance of crafting a 2nd nat from a single ess, but it's only 1 level away from the double nat requirement as well.

 

Help appreciated thanks!

[Sy_Accursed]

Be interesting to see maths on this.

Fairly sure it was proven to be exponential increase rather than linear thou.

[Crossed_Body]

Rune wiki states this:

Even the most experienced player will almost never double craft a blood rune. As a player's Runecrafting level gets closer to the level required for the next sequential multiple runes crafting level, the player's probability of crafting that multiple of runes will increase linearly up to about a 60% chance to create an extra rune.

 

And it seems correct from the data I've gathered when I was making earth runes for the varrock diary.

[LitterBug]

Be interesting to see maths on this.

Fairly sure it was proven to be exponential increase rather than linear thou.

 

How in the world? Where are you getting these ideas from?

 

It's definitely not an exponential increase but a linear one.

There is a random chance of crafting multiple runes per essence so it's not guaranteed that your rune essense:rune crafted is any specific ratio.

However, leveling to required multiple runes guarantees you that.

-i.e 91 guarantees that for every one essence - you will get two out of it

 

And to the statement that the probability of getting an extra rune is 60% at one level below is probably true as well.

While, I haven't actually recorded the actual data for multiple levels - I do remember looking at it when crafting earth/fire runes (way back in f2p) and remember a rune/rune essense ratio of about that near the level before you get the guaranteed multiple rune.

[Sy_Accursed]

Be interesting to see maths on this.

Fairly sure it was proven to be exponential increase rather than linear thou.

 

How in the world? Where are you getting these ideas from?

 

It's definitely not an exponential increase but a linear one.

There is a random chance of crafting multiple runes per essence so it's not guaranteed that your rune essense:rune crafted is any specific ratio.

However, leveling to required multiple runes guarantees you that.

-i.e 91 guarantees that for every one essence - you will get two out of it

 

And to the statement that the probability of getting an extra rune is 60% at one level below is probably true as well.

While, I haven't actually recorded the actual data for multiple levels - I do remember looking at it when crafting earth/fire runes (way back in f2p) and remember a rune/rune essense ratio of about that near the level before you get the guaranteed multiple rune.

 

As, using the numbers given above,

34 is guaranteed 4 runes per ess

44 is guaranteed 5

 

From what I've seen of rough workings the chance of that 5th rune between 34 and 44 seems to grow exponentially rather than linear, so like the first 3 lvls only make a 1% difference but the next 3 make a 1.5% difference.

And yeah I've read some good stuff on it being 60% chance cap.