Chances of multi barrow drops

[Peronix]

I've never calculated this, so I had no idea how rare it was and why nobody has gotten more than three yet, but now that I've taken the minute to do so I'd like to share it with you. It's not a topic meriting any real discussion, just a little food for thought.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

1 Barrows item: Most people get one ever 50 or so runs, some have a lot more luck but I'd say that is the average number.

 

 

 

2 Barrows items: That would be 50^2, so the chances are 1:2,500.

 

 

 

3 Barrows items: 50^3, so 1:125,000. Now I understand why only one person has gotten this. He was REALLY lucky.

 

 

 

4 Barrows items: Don't expect ever to see this. 50^4 = 1:6,250,000

 

 

 

5 Barrows items: ^Ditto^ 50^5 = 1:312,500,000. The chances of winning the lottery in my state is about 1:172,000,000. And that gets up to like $120 + million dollars. You have twice the chance of winning that than expecting a 5 barrow item drop. lol

 

 

 

6 Barrows items: ...do I even have to say it... 50^6 = 1:15,625,000,000. That's about the chance of lightning striking twice in the same spot, in the same storm... and you know what they say about that...

[Torlen]

Your numbers are wrong, the average drop rate is about 15 runs depending on your KC.

[mattbrandon]

I dont think it really matters about the average because the point is that it is really really rare to get more than 1 barrows item in a run, nomatter how high or ow the average is.

[Danyo]

I'm one of the lucky 2 drop ppl, and it was my first chest to get any barrows, it was after about 20 runs

[Veryhyper]

Maybe I'm just lucky but i've gotten double barrows items twice from 500 barrows runs. Re do the math, the average barrows drop rate for around a 10 kc is 1 out of 19 and for a 20-30 1 out 12. (my stats may not be accurate).