The chances of getting a third age item from a clue is 1 in 10,000.

 

 

 

So we just need to do 10,000 treasure trails? Sweet, I'm only 9874 away from my first 3rd Age Armour.

 

 

 

The 1 in 10,000 means 1 in 10,000 PER clue. So you do 1 clue, it's 1 in 10,000, another one, same odds, another one, same odds, etc, etc

 

That's like saying when tossing a coin, it's 50% change to get tail (if that's how you call it in english). So in 2 tosses, you have 50 + 50 = 100% change on getting tail. Which obviously isn't true.

 

Someone awile ago said on a topic of the nerfing of something that they flipped a coin 4 times and got tails every time, does this mean they nerfed coins too?!

 

lol

It's very possible. I just had one 8 days ago. 3rd age robe top. I'll even get picture of it. :P And I've only done like 60-70 clues, even less maybe.

 

 

 

EDIT: Here you go.

 

 

 

 

 

 

You did'nt have space for it all;o

The chances of getting a third age item from a clue is 1 in 10,000.

 

 

 

So we just need to do 10,000 treasure trails? Sweet, I'm only 9874 away from my first 3rd Age Armour.

 

 

 

The 1 in 10,000 means 1 in 10,000 PER clue. So you do 1 clue, it's 1 in 10,000, another one, same odds, another one, same odds, etc, etc

 

That's like saying when tossing a coin, it's 50% change to get tail (if that's how you call it in english). So in 2 tosses, you have 50 + 50 = 100% change on getting tail. Which obviously isn't true.

 

Someone awile ago said on a topic of the nerfing of something that they flipped a coin 4 times and got tails every time, does this mean they nerfed coins too?!

 

lol

 

 

 

that was me =)

 

 

 

you guys are talking about the gambler's fallacy, that, for instance, if you flip a coin a hundred times and get tails each time, you'll be much more likely to get heads on the next try. (it's still 50/50)