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Am i lucky?

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ok guys im at aviansies right and everyone is telling they have like even killcount/bars yet my bars are thrashing my kc, jsut last load i got 248 bars and 202 kills and so far this load ive got 34kills and 48 bars, am i just lucky?

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signature your as this use backwards this read to enough smart were you if

My advice is that this is more suited to the General Discussion board.

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That's an extremely low sample size to draw those kind of conclusions, especially when the results are not incredibly overwhelming.

My advice is that this is more suited to the General Discussion board.

 

I don't see how this is suited for general discussion... we don't need another 'zormg drop rate nerf!' thread there, lol.

 

 

 

That's an extremely low sample size to draw those kind of conclusions, especially when the results are not incredibly overwhelming.

 

Yeah, this is definitely the case here. Get a larger sample size and it'll balance *somewhere* around 1:1

[Summoning guide (AOW)] [Slayer guide] [Melee & Brawl player]

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I've been to aviansies a few times, and the killcount:bars ratio fluctuated a lot early on. It always does. If you make 1k+ kills, you will get roughly 1:1 most of the time

For correlations to be effective you have to increase the sample size like everyone mentioned in this thread. The more you kill, the more accurate it will be.

For correlations to be effective you have to increase the sample size like everyone mentioned in this thread. The more you kill, the more accurate it will be.

 

That

 

 

 

Plus, there's no such thing as luck in Runescape.

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Drops: 1x Draconic Visage, 56x Abyssal Whip, 5x Demon Head, D Drops: 37, Barrows Drops: 43, DK Drops: 29

GWD drops: 14,000x Bars, 1x Armadyl Hilt, 2x Armadyl Skirt, 4x Sara Sword, 1x Saradomin Hilt, 8x Bandos Hilt, 8x Bandos Platebody, 9x Bandos Tassets, 4x Bandos Boots, 43x Godsword Shard, 82x Dragon Boots

Dry streak records: Saradomin 412 kills Bandos 988 kills Spirit Mages 633 kills - Slayer Sucks

well technically there is...like just randomly hitting a higher hit than you opponent regardless of skill levels. (Hypothetically) Its like flipping a coin and getting more heads then tails no matter how many times you do it.

well technically there is...like just randomly hitting a higher hit than you opponent regardless of skill levels. (Hypothetically) Its like flipping a coin and getting more heads then tails no matter how many times you do it.

 

Probability, not luck. Luck requires randomness, and a computer can't produce that. Flipping a coin is also probability, not luck; if you analyze all the factors (which is currently impossible) you can predict which side it will land on with 100% accuracy. They have machines that can flip a coin to land on a specific side virtually every time.

DeviledEgg24.png

Drops: 1x Draconic Visage, 56x Abyssal Whip, 5x Demon Head, D Drops: 37, Barrows Drops: 43, DK Drops: 29

GWD drops: 14,000x Bars, 1x Armadyl Hilt, 2x Armadyl Skirt, 4x Sara Sword, 1x Saradomin Hilt, 8x Bandos Hilt, 8x Bandos Platebody, 9x Bandos Tassets, 4x Bandos Boots, 43x Godsword Shard, 82x Dragon Boots

Dry streak records: Saradomin 412 kills Bandos 988 kills Spirit Mages 633 kills - Slayer Sucks

I always get less bars then kc, so yea...you are lucky ::'

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It will probably level off if you did like 1K aviansies. But your are pretty lucky as is.

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Probability, not luck.

 

yeah that

I appologize. My bad. I interepreted it as a bragging post as opposed to one asking if it was a good drop rate.

 

 

 

I haven't trained at Aviansies yet, but do plan too eventually. I would have to agree with general sentiment of this thread though. You really need to more kills to really get a good assessment of how good or bad your drop rate is.

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