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knight10071

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Everything posted by knight10071

  1. From your post, what you describe as accuracy, seems to be a failure rate. (This does not matter for the margin of error, but it's something to keep in mind.) This margin of error you're talking about is known as a 'confidence interval' in statistics. For this particular application, you'll want confidence intervals for the binomial distribution: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Binomial_proportion_confidence_interval In this case, the 95% confidence interval is: 0.683 +- 1.96*sqrt(0.683*(1-0.683)/{number of trials}) = 0.683 +- 1.96*sqrt(0.683*(1-0.683)/477) = 0.683 +- 0.042 So, with 95% certainity you can say the failure rate is between 64.1% and 72.5% If you want to know, for example, how large your sample should be to know with 95% certainity, the failure rate within 1%, you solve 0.01/2 = 1.96*sqrt((0.683*(1-0.683))/n) (wolfram alpha says n=33269.9) Sorry but... What's sqrt? square root
  2. From your post, what you describe as accuracy, seems to be a failure rate. (This does not matter for the margin of error, but it's something to keep in mind.) This margin of error you're talking about is known as a 'confidence interval' in statistics. For this particular application, you'll want confidence intervals for the binomial distribution: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Binomial_proportion_confidence_interval In this case, the 95% confidence interval is: 0.683 +- 1.96*sqrt(0.683*(1-0.683)/{number of trials}) = 0.683 +- 1.96*sqrt(0.683*(1-0.683)/477) = 0.683 +- 0.042 So, with 95% certainity you can say the failure rate is between 64.1% and 72.5% If you want to know, for example, how large your sample should be to know with 95% certainity, the failure rate within 1%, you solve 0.01/2 = 1.96*sqrt((0.683*(1-0.683))/n) (wolfram alpha says n=33269.9)
  3. 99 ranged :D Thanks to Dat Booty, A Mace and Ezeei for coming :)
  4. I'd like to share some of my experiences. I started with Visual Basic, which was pretty good for me. Made a lot of small projects with it and making buttons etc. is really easy with it. Then I learned Python though this: (http://ocw.mit.edu/courses/electrical-engineering-and-computer-science/6-00-introduction-to-computer-science-and-programming-fall-2008/index.htm Video lectures + exercises) Python has a ton of libraries for practically anything you can think of, from writing excels to reading xml files. If the friends you want to give the programs to have knowledge of programming, you'll prolly want to give them the source code anyway, so they can just download Python, it's not like it's big or anything. If you just want to show them stuff, http://www.portablepython.com/ . I have a little experience with C++ and the main difference between C++/Java and Python is development time vs time/resources used for running. If you have finally finished a C++/Java project, you compile and you can just run it whenever you want to. If you want to do projects in Python, you can easiliy write a bit of code, but it needs to be interpreted when you run it, which can cause slow down.
  5. Is "who are you guys anyway?" an appropriate question? I'm not playing runescape anymore anyway

  6. I think he's right, actually, it would be similar to swimming, except in, you know, air. I used to think there were people with huge control panels controlling all traffic lights in the city. This resulted in: - Pressing the button multiple times, because the controller had to get annoyed from that flashing light/annoying beep that he saw/heard when I pushed it. Therefore he'd let me go first. - Me saying that I understood why traffic lights were switched off at quiet times: The guys who controlled it would want a day off every now and then. (My parents still quote this to me to this day. I'm 17 and this was at like 4 xD)
  7. Besides the fact it would take a huge amount of time to rewrite everything, I think you should consider the following: If my observations are correct, practically anything that is a desktop-application can be hacked. Hacked as in altering the game itself, not stealing passwords or any of that nonsense. I would gladly take the slowish performance and sub-par graphics over a bunch of hackers/scriptkiddies any day.
  8. It is cool :P I constantly use it for colloborative school assignments and we also set up a system where we collect all questions on subjects (mainly math) and answer them, so that everyone can see it.
  9. If you're willing to try new things, Google wave: http://wave.google.com and for basic explanations.It's still in preview though and you need to request an account, which can take up to 36 hours, but it works awesomely for multi-person convo's, both in real-time and forum-like.
  10. I've lost interest in RuneScape and I'm quitting for an indefinate amount of time. I'll prolly lurk on these forums to keep up with updates and read the Times. Also, it's good to see there are so many new/coming back. Real advantage of merging those stickys.
  11. Jagex is definately banning/suspending accounts for this: At the time of writing my woodcutting rank has risen by 116. Normally it decreases by about 300 daily. This means there have been at least 200 bannings of people with a woodcutting level of 83 or higher.
  12. I'm getting it too. Downloaded the new Java and I have admin rights. Going to try a reboot and if that doesn't work I'll go do something else.
  13. Thanks guys! Next: 96 Summ (got all the charms) Diaries (minus ardy elite) All quests Ardy Elite
  14. Too tired to comment on the math, however, I am pretty certain that the minimum hit isn't 0. The reason I think so, is that you can SGS spec and hit 0, but still be healed. The explanation would be that you "rolled" hit, then "rolled" 0. Also, with magic, it's visible (splash vs hit) and I doubt it would be different with melee/ranged. Why you never hit below 5 in Kuradal's is simply explained by assuming that the check for the damage addition is "rolled" 1 or up, instead of "rolled" hit.
  15. [hide=99 Slayer] [/hide] [hide=Along the journey] [/hide] I would like to thank everybody who came to congratulate me and all the people who hang out in Lady Heinous. However, I would like to thank Frembler (Mmaattiiss) especially, for his continuous encouragement and friendship.
  16. I'm currently attempting to upload a website. I can connect to the FTP server, but when I attempt to upload, most of the files fail due to Timeout. I thought this was due to my firewall, so I disabled it and I tried to upload, but I still had the same problem. I have an F-Secure firewall and other protection. I just disabled the firewall and left the other features on. Googling didn't give me an answer to what might be wrong, so I hope you guys could tell me what could be the problem, as I haven't got a clue myself.
  17. I had to make a near-exact same choice 5 years back. However, in my case the language programme was English (I'm Dutch) and it was at the bigger school. The smaller school was seen as better, the larger one also catholic. In the end I went for the larger, language programme, school. Firstly, the language programme helped me a lot. While English is different than French (as in uses), you seem to be really excited about it, and it's defininately something that will help you in the future. Also, don't let friends be a factor in your decision, you will either have other people coming with you, or you'll make new friends. Religion is defininately not my favourite subject, but I do think it is good to learn something about "how others think". If you're taking a language programme, you're probably decently smart, so the large/smaller classes shouldn't really be a factor either, unless you have a personal preference for them (cosier or more people). In the end it's your decision, so I won't be making it for you, but this is what I can tell you from my experience.
  18. Def pures are useless. [hide] Just kidding, good job! [/hide]
  19. What was your previous RuneScape name that you are listed under on the highscores?: Knight10071 What is your current RuneScape display name?: Aurei Animus What Tip.it highscore list(s) are you currently added to?: P2P
  20. Exactly. If you say no, you can change your allocations and if you collect afterwards, you will get your resources as you chose them just before that.
  21. I'd like to end the question of whether the math is valid. My spreadsheet says this is true as well and the 99% confidence intervals have a range of one percent at most. However, I think this really shows the impact of the herblore update. Despite the PvP nerf, herbs still are in high demand. Though I do think that we should wait a bit longer before judging it, as this may well be the result of the countless merchanters/manipulators investing in herbs.
  22. I was wondering how much my bank was worth approximately. I estimated around 100M, maybe a bit above. The result surprised me so much, that I decided to post it with my stats included. My bank is so messy that I could probably scrape some more out, but I think this is (nearly) the best I could do with my inventory spots and equipment. [hide=Click for BoB] Missing stats: 70 Construction, 80 Hunter, 79 Summoning.[/hide] Rate This!
  23. I was wondering how much my bank was worth approximately. I estimated around 100M, maybe a bit above. The result surprised me so much, that I decided to post it with my stats included. My bank is so messy that I could probably scrape some more out, but I think this is (nearly) the best I could do with my inventory spots and equipment. [hide=Click for BoB] Missing stats: 70 Construction, 80 Hunter, 79 Summoning.[/hide] Rate This!
  24. What you're saying is absolutely correct. However, the economical principles involved here do not always work as fast as you would hope. Of course, more supply is created by increasing prices, but it most of the time is not enough to turn around the price trend. Also, a lot of items are being merched at the same time. Therefore, the people reacting to it are spread over these items. The organization is what may stop the manipulation.
  25. The issue you bring up here is a genuine concern, but the solution to this would be that we say something like, selling every odd day, as close as possible to a certain time. This way ensures that you at the most will be left with 48 hours worth of resources. The power of this idea is that it's a lot of people putting a bit of effort in. Manipulation is the other way around, a (relatively) small group of people inserts a lot of effort.
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