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Dragon claws/Dragon plate pieces Droprates?


Nopnoob

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Dragon Claws were rumored at 1/100.

 

Dragon Plate pieces were rumored at much higher, random guess being 1/150-200. No way to know for sure :(

 

 

 

I wish Jagex would release drop rates tbh :?

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A friend got 3 claws & 1 shard in 329 kills.

 

 

 

Its something near 1/110 <3:

 

 

 

Good luck :thumbsup:

 

 

 

I got 3 Dragon Claws in 25 kills. Following that logic would indicate the drop rate is 1/8.

 

Though I'm at about 60 kills now, and nothing since then.

 

 

 

Judging from others, I'd say 1/100 is pretty accurate. Ruined Dragon pieces are definitely rarer, though.

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Alright, then if I keep going I will have claws tomorrow..

 

 

 

Just finished another trip, I think I'm on 80-90 kills total.

 

 

 

That really makes no sense, unless you are being sarcastisch without realizing it yourself.

 

 

 

The chances that you are getting claws tomorrow are just as small as they were on the first day you started slaying tormented demons, and on the day when you will be reaching your 10,000th tormented demon.

 

 

 

For every next kill you make, the chances of receiving a certain item are as high as they were on your last kill.

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1 in 100 means one in every 100 kills, right? This means 1 claws in about every 100 kills.. Am I getting it all wrong lol?

 

 

 

A friend got 3 claws & 1 shard in 329 kills.

 

 

 

Its something near 1/110 <3:

 

 

 

Good luck :thumbsup:

 

 

 

I got 3 Dragon Claws in 25 kills. Following that logic would indicate the drop rate is 1/8.

 

Though I'm at about 60 kills now, and nothing since then.

 

 

 

Judging from others, I'd say 1/100 is pretty accurate. Ruined Dragon pieces are definitely rarer, though.

 

 

 

@3 claws in 25 kills. [bleep] YOU! WTF LOL :wall:

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That's a lottery fallacy like already mentioned by Tijger2099. The kills are independent of each other and your chances don't increase with each kill. At a rate of roughly 1 in 100, your chances are 1% for each individual kill. Killing more doesn't guarantee anything. You could be lucky and get one your very first try or be extremely unlucky and never get one.

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  • 2 weeks later...
1 in 100 means one in every 100 kills, right? This means 1 claws in about every 100 kills.. Am I getting it all wrong lol?

 

 

 

A friend got 3 claws & 1 shard in 329 kills.

 

 

 

Its something near 1/110 <3:

 

 

 

Good luck :thumbsup:

 

 

 

I got 3 Dragon Claws in 25 kills. Following that logic would indicate the drop rate is 1/8.

 

Though I'm at about 60 kills now, and nothing since then.

 

 

 

Judging from others, I'd say 1/100 is pretty accurate. Ruined Dragon pieces are definitely rarer, though.

 

 

 

@3 claws in 25 kills. [bleep] YOU! WTF LOL :wall:

 

 

 

Tijger is right.

 

 

 

You seem to lack some mathematical insight but that's allright. You play Runescape after all.

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Honestly, DClaw drops are all over the place. Getting an accurate drop rate seems really hard. 1/100 sounds nowhere close to right, though. Its gotta be higher.

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That's a lottery fallacy like already mentioned by Tijger2099. The kills are independent of each other and your chances don't increase with each kill. At a rate of roughly 1 in 100, your chances are 1% for each individual kill. Killing more doesn't guarantee anything. You could be lucky and get one your very first try or be extremely unlucky and never get one.

 

There was a whole article about this in the tip.it times a while ago, it explains the whole argument pretty well.

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