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The reason for price droppings


Neos_Matrix

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I bought my Green Halloween Mask for 25m just in time for Halloween. Just after Halloween, they dropped. Drastically. All the way to 20m and now slowly rising.

 

And why do these things sky-rocket at one point then the next week, it crashes?

 

Could it be the Merchanting Clans that are causing all these high, in-demand items?

Or something else?

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Its a halloween item... the demand peaks in the run up to halloween and then drops right after before returing to a stable price. Its the same with santa hats around christmas.

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So, your saying that I might have to wait til next Halloween til the Green Mask rises up to 25m+?

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Barrows Items: 1x Dharok's Platelegs, 1x Veracs's Plateskirt, 1x Dharok's Greataxe, 2x Torag's Platelegs, 1x Akrisae's War Mace, 1x Ahrim's Robeskirt, 3x Akrisae's Robetop, 1x Guthan's Warspear, 1x Akrisae's Robeskirt, 1x Torag's Helm, 2x Verac's Brassard, 1x Karil's Pistol Crossbow

 

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So, your saying that I might have to wait til next Halloween til the Green Mask rises up to 25m+?

 

Probably the case yes, not only that but with the G.E everyone is far too lazy to free-trade or look for free-trades.

 

Basically what I'm saying is before the G.E if a mask was selling you could sell it to someone pretty quickly now it's impossibe, of course the trade-cap doesnt help, but it's fairy common knowledge that it'll rise before that event.

 

Put it in your shoes if there's a big sporting event you'll support a team maybe wear their colours, or an election wear a button that supports who you're voting for it's no different in RuneScape.

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You might, they are some patterns to prices but not a definitive one you can define and project.

 

That's why it's called investing or merchanting.

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They will probably naturaly rise a little during the rest of the year as all rares do but yes, it might not rise that high until October next year and before that time it might still lose a lot more money. As recent as 29th august the mask was 18m.

 

A look at the 180 day graph on the GE shows that it peaked at the end of September rising to 28.7m before dropping off and then rising again to 25.6m just before Halloween. The price then dropped just on 1st Nov before going back up a bit. The price is now declining (-95.7k today).

 

I doubt that it will reach the price it was earlier this year (10m) because of PVP inflation but you still might lose some money on in unless you hold out for at least a few months for it to recover.

 

If you bought the item for profit then you couldn't have picked a worse time to purchase tbh.

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You shocked a halloween holiday item dropped in value after halloween? Lol

 

Every single year Masks and Santas especially follow the holiday trend.

 

They are cheapest in the summer about 6 months away from their hol.

 

Then they have 2 peaks, 1 about a month before the holiday from early buyers and one basically right at the holiday from on the day buyers.

 

Then they drop and continue to drop slowly til 6 months after the hol at which point they start to creep up again

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I think we need a special sub-forums about items, trading, the economy and the GE lol. Topics like these seem to come up again and again, most of them 99% identical.

Couldn't agree more with what you posted.

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The main reason the prices rise and fall is that they are being continuously bought out and dumped by merchants. Now the merchants do always push them up during h'ween, but they also buy them out and dump regularly throughout the year. They'll hit 25M again from a good buyout, but they most likely won't stay that high.

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The masks dropped, probably because the Halloween event is over.

 

Why did you buy the rare anyway?

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You shocked a halloween holiday item dropped in value after halloween? Lol

 

Every single year Masks and Santas especially follow the holiday trend.

 

They are cheapest in the summer about 6 months away from their hol.

 

Then they have 2 peaks, 1 about a month before the holiday from early buyers and one basically right at the holiday from on the day buyers.

 

Then they drop and continue to drop slowly til 6 months after the hol at which point they start to creep up again

 

It's sad how true this is.

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The masks dropped, probably because the Halloween event is over.

 

Why did you buy the rare anyway?

 

I'd thought I would make a good profit, but it seems I might lose at least 2-3m since I need the money for armor/weapons in P2P. <_<

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Barrows Items: 1x Dharok's Platelegs, 1x Veracs's Plateskirt, 1x Dharok's Greataxe, 2x Torag's Platelegs, 1x Akrisae's War Mace, 1x Ahrim's Robeskirt, 3x Akrisae's Robetop, 1x Guthan's Warspear, 1x Akrisae's Robeskirt, 1x Torag's Helm, 2x Verac's Brassard, 1x Karil's Pistol Crossbow

 

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The masks dropped, probably because the Halloween event is over.

 

Why did you buy the rare anyway?

 

I'd thought I would make a good profit, but it seems I might lose at least 2-3m since I need the money for armor/weapons in P2P. <_<

 

Lol don't buy a rare if you can't afford to sit on it for a year. Buy rares when you have excess money.

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There are several topics relating the the Runescape economy in this forum. This thread seems fits your discussion. You may repost your question there, although Master_Smither and other users have posts regarding the matter. :)

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