Awhile ago, i was fighting dusties and i to my surprise, i got a chain after only fighting about 100 or so. This was when they went for 33 mil, so i sold it. At that time, a lot of others say they got a chain there too around the same time. Now im back at dusties and it seems no one is ever getting a chain. Ive killed thousands. Think the drop rate changed or did we just get really lucky earlier?

i think it was early luck.

You guys just got lucky, at least that is what it would most likely be. There would be no point in changing the drop rates of an item.

the first time u got a chain in about 100 kills, you got EXTREMELY lucky... ive heard the drop rate of a chain from them is like 1 in 50,000. i dont think theyd change the drop rate on it

ok, i wouldnt think so either, but u never know if too many poeple got them maybe they changed it, but thanks

If theres one thing I despise it's people talking about the drop rates, there are no official drop rates for anything in rs, there are people that have gotten a chain on their first one and then there are people that have killed tons and tons To the person saying 50k till a chain, has anyone killed 50k of them? All in all, there is no official drop rate so people just need to stop trying to sound smart in saying that they know.

If theres one thing I despise it's people talking about the drop rates, there are no official drop rates for anything in rs, there are people that have gotten a chain on their first one and then there are people that have killed tons and tons To the person saying 50k till a chain, has anyone killed 50k of them? All in all, there is no official drop rate so people just need to stop trying to sound smart in saying that they know.

 

 

 

 

 

well there arent any offical drop rates, but jagex must have a system to determen the drops. So if there is a system then there is also a drop chance

If theres one thing I despise it's people talking about the drop rates, there are no official drop rates for anything in rs, there are people that have gotten a chain on their first one and then there are people that have killed tons and tons To the person saying 50k till a chain, has anyone killed 50k of them? All in all, there is no official drop rate so people just need to stop trying to sound smart in saying that they know.

 

 

 

 

 

well there arent any offical drop rates, but jagex must have a system to determen the drops. So if there is a system then there is also a drop chance

 

 

 

no it is just luck and nothing more then big luck like the wheel of fortune there is no way you know whast number comes out because u should always win then

i heard that d chain drop from dusties is a bug and it has been fixed.

i heard that d chain drop from dusties is a bug and it has been fixed.

 

 

 

Um...no? If they stopped Dust Devils from dropping Dragon Chains then I'm very upset. :x

i heard that d chain drop from dusties is a bug and it has been fixed.

 

 

 

then they should have fixed it at the beginning, not 1 year later when they were known for having d chain drop.

i heard that d chain drop from dusties is a bug and it has been fixed.

 

*Sigh* The guy who said Abbyssal Demons drop Light Sabres told you this?

The problem with dragon chains and drop rates is that those are so small. For instance: If the drop rate is indeed 1 in 50000:

 

 

 

This means you have a chance of 1/50000 of getting a chain, or 1-1/50000 chance of not getting a chain. Suppose you kill 50000 dust devils, the chance of not getting a chain is (1-1/50000)^50000 ~ 36.8%, which means that 100%-36.8% = 63.2% chance of getting a chain.

 

 

 

If you really want to figure out the drop rate, you'll need to kill much more than 50k dust devils. Not something a lot of people do.

If theres one thing I despise it's people talking about the drop rates, there are no official drop rates for anything in rs, there are people that have gotten a chain on their first one and then there are people that have killed tons and tons To the person saying 50k till a chain, has anyone killed 50k of them? All in all, there is no official drop rate so people just need to stop trying to sound smart in saying that they know.

 

 

 

 

 

well there arent any offical drop rates, but jagex must have a system to determen the drops. So if there is a system then there is also a drop chance

 

 

 

no it is just luck and nothing more then big luck like the wheel of fortune there is no way you know whast number comes out because u should always win then

 

 

 

That might be true for the recipient of the chain, but certainly not true for the dusties that drop it. It might be as close as possible to "random" as to when they drop but it would still be within a defined numerical value. You cannot program "luck" so hence there has to be a drop rate.

I've killed like 30k since november... No chain at all.

 

Jagex hates me. lol.

well

 

did anyone get any d chain from dusties during last 6 months?

If theres one thing I despise it's people talking about the drop rates, there are no official drop rates for anything in rs, there are people that have gotten a chain on their first one and then there are people that have killed tons and tons To the person saying 50k till a chain, has anyone killed 50k of them? All in all, there is no official drop rate so people just need to stop trying to sound smart in saying that they know.

 

 

 

 

 

well there arent any offical drop rates, but jagex must have a system to determen the drops. So if there is a system then there is also a drop chance

 

 

 

no it is just luck and nothing more then big luck like the wheel of fortune there is no way you know whast number comes out because u should always win then

 

 

 

That might be true for the recipient of the chain, but certainly not true for the dusties that drop it. It might be as close as possible to "random" as to when they drop but it would still be within a defined numerical value. You cannot program "luck" so hence there has to be a drop rate.

 

i remmber being told by jagex that drop rates were like wheels. you had all the items on 1 wheel, but everytime you see a monster respawn it has a new one. when you kill it, that wheel is spun and your drop is set. but there is also a second wheel that has all rare items like d chains only excecible thru a special slot on the first wheel. this second wheel has d drops, gems, bloods, half keys, and in the case of tzhaar, higher amounts of tokul is my guess.......

This means you have a chance of 1/50000 of getting a chain, or 1-1/50000 chance of not getting a chain. Suppose you kill 50000 dust devils, the chance of not getting a chain is (1-1/50000)^50000 ~ 36.8%, which means that 100%-36.8% = 63.2% chance of getting a chain.

 

Are you sure?

its not guarunteed drop rate like no matter what if you kill 50K, then you get a chain.

This means you have a chance of 1/50000 of getting a chain, or 1-1/50000 chance of not getting a chain. Suppose you kill 50000 dust devils, the chance of not getting a chain is (1-1/50000)^50000 ~ 36.8%, which means that 100%-36.8% = 63.2% chance of getting a chain.

 

Are you sure?

 

 

 

yes, he is right

 

nice to meet good student here :)

If theres one thing I despise it's people talking about the drop rates, there are no official drop rates for anything in rs, there are people that have gotten a chain on their first one and then there are people that have killed tons and tons To the person saying 50k till a chain, has anyone killed 50k of them? All in all, there is no official drop rate so people just need to stop trying to sound smart in saying that they know.

 

 

 

 

 

well there arent any offical drop rates, but jagex must have a system to determen the drops. So if there is a system then there is also a drop chance

 

 

 

no it is just luck and nothing more then big luck like the wheel of fortune there is no way you know whast number comes out because u should always win then

 

 

 

That might be true for the recipient of the chain, but certainly not true for the dusties that drop it. It might be as close as possible to "random" as to when they drop but it would still be within a defined numerical value. You cannot program "luck" so hence there has to be a drop rate.

 

 

 

THANK YOU! (i was gonna say that :wink: )

if the drop rate is changed, it has gone down.

 

 

 

i got a drag chain this week, a friend got it a few hours after me and another one got 1 the night before me.

i heard that d chain drop from dusties is a bug and it has been fixed.

 

*Sigh* The guy who said Abbyssal Demons drop Light Sabres told you this?

 

 

 

lol nice one but i seriously doubt that it was a bug

The problem with dragon chains and drop rates is that those are so small. For instance: If the drop rate is indeed 1 in 50000:

 

 

 

This means you have a chance of 1/50000 of getting a chain, or 1-1/50000 chance of not getting a chain. Suppose you kill 50000 dust devils, the chance of not getting a chain is (1-1/50000)^50000 ~ 36.8%, which means that 100%-36.8% = 63.2% chance of getting a chain.

 

 

 

If you really want to figure out the drop rate, you'll need to kill much more than 50k dust devils. Not something a lot of people do.

 

 

 

missing your logic here....if it is 1/50000, then the chance of NOT getting on is simply 49999/50000. But i'm not sure it is 50000 and there probably is no definite #.

The bug that was fixed was when dust devils first came out they dropped 2 noted dragon chains, that was fixed fast.