Bad luck on runescape accounts?

[fightermanX]

This topic is to discuss if there exists something like luck or bad luck on accounts? Is it given when you create your account? How much luck/bad luck?

 

My Story:

 

Just wondering, since I've gone to clan wars alot recently, and I got beaten by friends level 95 and below, and I almost lost from a level 85 randomer. Myself? I am level 111 and 90 atk/str/def/hp. I always tell my friends I think my attack level feels the same as when I was 60 attack. I hit 0,0,0,0 ten times as much than I actually land a hit.

 

No, I am certainly not noobish, it's just a normal f2p fight, no strength potions, no food, only prayer, and no protection prayers. What's going on?

 

 

have you experienced you got extremely bad luck? or do you feel lucky? tell your story! :-D

[swampjedi]

I seem to have horrible luck with drops. Maged almost 1k irons/steels, no dragon drop at all. Never had a level 3 clue worth more than 100k. 100 Barrows runs, no drop.

 

It's just random though, sadly. However, it makes me wonder how Jagex seeds their random number generator, and if perhaps they wrote it themselves.

[The Runar]

I've played for over four years and my best drop so far is a snapdragon seed <_<

[Shovelmeface]

I have the worst luck of anybody around.

 

In my almost 9 years of playing I have never got anything rarer in a drop than a rune chain.

[Me_Hate_Libs]

I've always had poor luck on most things. I did recently get a whip drop of demons and have had a few okay TTs over my years of doing them. That's about it.

[oropher]

I have the worst luck of anybody around.

 

In my almost 9 years of playing I have never got anything rarer in a drop than a rune chain.

 

Can't really expect more than that with those stats... Just saying.

[fightermanX]

Sounds like we're a happy bunch of people with bad luck. :ohnoes:

[Shovelmeface]

I have the worst luck of anybody around.

 

In my almost 9 years of playing I have never got anything rarer in a drop than a rune chain.

 

Can't really expect more than that with those stats... Just saying.

 

:rolleyes:

 

You dont know what I've killed, how many I've killed or how many chars I've had over the years. <_<

[JoeDaStudd]

I'm on a roll of 3 DK maging trips and no drop over 2m runes (closer to 3m in truth), I spent about 15 hours at the dwarf battlefield and hate every drop apart from the pick (well and d half) and the most I've had from a clue scroll in the last 4 months was 120k in rune items.

[Mecakoto]

There is no such thing as luck in electronic games. Only variables that simulate luck. If Runescape is like some other Rpgs, upon starting a new game (account creation) we are assigned a base luck value. That value never changes, but each time we do something (click on something) or don't do anything for a certain amount of time, the variable that alters the final luck value from the base may change, thus giving us better "luck."

 

This is why it is common to hear of people getting multiple rare drops in quick succession or someone doesn't hit very often. Their luck value simply didn't change for a period of time. When random events ran rampant, anyone who wanted one need only open their bank and click that question mark. After 10 minutes all you had to do is close your bank window to be teleported into oblivion. Since random events work with flags and those flags can only be un-triggered by doing the random event, and since you waited 10 minutes and changed your luck variable multiple times, it was almost a certainty.

 

Of course one variable isn't all that exists that effects a base luck value. There are other factors as well. Just remember this: luck is negligible when you play the odds enough times. If you don't succeed once, you surely will if you attempt the same act 150,000 more times.

 

Also, base luck isn't limited to monster drops or hitting alone. I usually hit very well and often. I also have insane "luck" at Barrows. (See sig) I also have a habit of getting good drops the first time I kill a new monster and getting nothing else the rest of the time. (Aquas on release. Range ammy second kill. Second Range ammy 400 kills later.)

[Slayer_Jesse]

for me, my luck comes all at once, or not at all... i can go months without a drop, then make 25m+ in 3 days :lol: Its either feast or famine lol.

[Ambler]

I probably have one of the unluckyest accounts ever, I always run out of super restores JUST as I get to Jad, (with 4 brews and 2 other slots for bolts/ range pots.) or if im with a pvp team, I am always the first one to be attacked, the only lucky thing I have ever done is sniped a bandos hilt on a 20 man ls mass :D (this was about a year ago lol)

 

I have never recived any good drops while soloing (apart from d-spear at metals, which is almost classed as junk now)

 

anyone else in the same situation as me?

[swampjedi]

I really love the good points intermixed with the utter bullcrap in this.

 

There is no such thing as luck in electronic games. Only variables that simulate luck.

 

Truth, though the simulation is good enough in decent random number generators (RNG).

 

If Runescape is like some other Rpgs, upon starting a new game (account creation) we are assigned a base luck value. That value never changes, but each time we do something (click on something) or don't do anything for a certain amount of time, the variable that alters the final luck value from the base may change, thus giving us better "luck."

 

Utter bullcrap. This implies that specific accounts are luckier than others.

 

This is why it is common to hear of people getting multiple rare drops in quick succession or someone doesn't hit very often. Their luck value simply didn't change for a period of time. When random events ran rampant, anyone who wanted one need only open their bank and click that question mark. After 10 minutes all you had to do is close your bank window to be teleported into oblivion. Since random events work with flags and those flags can only be un-triggered by doing the random event, and since you waited 10 minutes and changed your luck variable multiple times, it was almost a certainty.

 

More bullcrap. Randoms were triggered by bot-like behaviour, not by RNG. Specifically, I was able to get Maze randoms every time by fletching in a specific way. I got a maze every 4 loads of bows, if I recall. Never anything else.

 

Just remember this: luck is negligible when you play the odds enough times. If you don't succeed once, you surely will if you attempt the same act 150,000 more times.

 

Mixed bag. You are statistically not likely to fail to get your 1 in 1000 drop if you try 150k times, sure - but there's a vanishingly small chance that you won't.

 

The real issue here has to do with which RNG Runescape uses.

[spooferfish]

I have the worst luck of anybody around.

 

In my almost 9 years of playing I have never got anything rarer in a drop than a rune chain.

 

In order to win the lottery, you have to buy a ticket. Looking at your combat stats, you have a lot of monsters to kill before you worry about bad luck.

 

I always feel that I have bad luck, but looking in my folder of drops/TT rewards, I'm doin alright.

[Mecakoto]

Text

 

 

 

Utter bullcrap. This implies that specific accounts are luckier than others.

 

I haven't researched Runescape's "luck" engine enough to say whether it uses this format or not. That is why I put "if." It's food for thought just in case the above is the system Jagex uses.

 

Text

 

 

 

More bullcrap. Randoms were triggered by bot-like behaviour, not by RNG. Specifically, I was able to get Maze randoms every time by fletching in a specific way. I got a maze every 4 loads of bows, if I recall. Never anything else.

 

It's still my best guess using the above format as a module in that given scenario. It's a possibility, but it can still be wrong and should be taken with a grain of salt.

[buzz_knight]

I seem to have horrible luck with drops. Maged almost 1k irons/steels, no dragon drop at all. Never had a level 3 clue worth more than 100k. 100 Barrows runs, no drop.

 

It's just random though, sadly. However, it makes me wonder how Jagex seeds their random number generator, and if perhaps they wrote it themselves.

 

Sounds just like myself.

[Pinkbullet3]

This topic is to discuss if there exists something like luck or bad luck on accounts? Is it given when you create your account? How much luck/bad luck?

 

My Story:

 

Just wondering, since I've gone to clan wars alot recently, and I got beaten by friends level 95 and below, and I almost lost from a level 85 randomer. Myself? I am level 111 and 90 atk/str/def/hp. I always tell my friends I think my attack level feels the same as when I was 60 attack. I hit 0,0,0,0 ten times as much than I actually land a hit.

 

No, I am certainly not noobish, it's just a normal f2p fight, no strength potions, no food, only prayer, and no protection prayers. What's going on?

 

 

have you experienced you got extremely bad luck? or do you feel lucky? tell your story! :-D

I feel the same as you. I'm level 107 (100% F2P), and not being a PvPer, I don't have too much experience when it comes to PvP.

 

But when I do fight, I usually end up losing a ton of health to my opponent, who usually is a lower level than me. The thing that surprises me though is that my character somehow always makes such a great comeback in fights; it starts out as me down to half and he's down to 3/4, but over time, I bring him down to 1/10. Me beating my opponents is about 50/50, though.

 

So I'd say: AVERAGE LUCK for me. :mellow:

[DeEliteOne]

I've always had terrible luck in general, until recently I got D pick from chaos dwarves and also a Sara dhide top from a lvl3 :thumbsup:

[Nenga]

I don't really think accounts have a fixed luck rate, just how lucky you normally are. That would make the game interesting. Have numbers from 1 to 10 assigned to an account on creation and input that into all formulas.

[Me_Hate_Libs]

This is all why I'm more in favor of the drop tables that Andrew mentioned in his blog than the current drop wheels that they use. Would be nice to gain more potential for a drop if you go too long without. And I'm not talking about crap like PvP EP.

[Big_Stingman]

Well when I was a member I got a dragon skirt, then a pair of legs. Then nothing at iron dragons. 800 dragons later a Visage popped up. So I am sort of lucky I guess. I haven't gotten anything big though since that visage a few years ago...

[Nabbagad]

The only time that I seem to be lucky is in the month of October.

In October 2007 and 2008 is when I got my only whip drop, dragon chain, dragon spear and like a d skirt. (with an exception to my other d skirt)

 

This October however, I don't a chance to play so :(

[elucin8er]

Mmmm I actually quit barrows cause of my horrible luck, it took me over 100 runs ( I wrote it down ) to get a guthans chest. I try not to kill things for drops anymore, I just fail.

[Me_Hate_Libs]

It's all random, whether you call it luck or whatever. Can we end the discussion now? <_<

[yurpsie]

I would say I am very unlucky with drops until I got a visage a few months ago. But, it went back to being unlucky again.