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Monster Heads and Fish Odds


DragonFirenze

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what i find extremely frustrating..im fishing 3k sharks, which according to your ratios i should get 12 or so big sharks. im halfway through, ive fishing 1520 sharks, and I have not yet gotten a big one. im not sure whether its just me, or whether the rates are higher.

Hotchick126: June 24th, 2003 - December 28th, 2007

-RETIRED-

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what i find extremely frustrating..im fishing 3k sharks, which according to your ratios i should get 12 or so big sharks. im halfway through, ive fishing 1520 sharks, and I have not yet gotten a big one. im not sure whether its just me, or whether the rates are higher.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

The rates are higher, but you have to remember that I guesstimated those odds just a few days after construction came out so not many people had them.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

If I was going to estimate them now I'd go for:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

1/128 - KQ Head

 

 

 

1/256 - KBD Head, Crawling hand

 

 

 

1/512 - Swordfish, cockatrice, basilisk

 

 

 

1/1024 - Bass, Shark, Kurask

 

 

 

1/2048 - Abyssal

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

That does NOT mean you will get a KQ head after exactly 128 KQs, infact the chance of having a head after 128 KQs is only 0.63, chance of going 3000 abyssals without a head is 0.23 (Greater than 1/5) and a 0.09 chance going 5000 without one (That's ~1/10 people will go 5000 demons without a head) aswell as a 1% chance of getting one after just 20 kills.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Makes perfect sense to me

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well i actually got my first big shark head this week

 

 

 

and they was released in june? 5 months of fishing to get it. stupid low odds :wall: :wall:

Runescape nick : Fat_Slug

Owner of Ears, Scythe and a 10 year veteran cape :D

 

 

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nice short informative guide, but its supposed to be in the "player-made guide" section

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

its up for DISCUSSION in P2P at the moment....kinda like my guide its a DRAFT atm

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

back to the point

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

i got a basilisk head on my first trip....then never again...its not in my house tho, i got rid of it thinking i could get the head back...you dont :D

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Haven't bothered reading all the replies, but I'd like to post the amounts I needed for each item (more data for whoever is studying this).

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

The kq head I got on my 3rd actual kill (wen't on more trips, but on the 3rd kill that was mine, I got it).

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

The kbd head I got on my 26th kill.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

And the Big Shark I got after about 5k sharks.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Still working on the other types of fish :-w

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