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Balthazar's Big Raffle


Urza285

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what's a good place for the deposit box?

I could see it being rather useful at LRM concentrated rocks, being able to bank your ores instead of dropping them.

 

porters..............

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"Night gathers, and now my watch begins. It shall not end until my death. I shall take no wife, hold no lands, father no children. I shall wear no crowns and win no glory. I shall live and die at my post. I am the sword in the darkness. I am the watcher on the walls. I am the shield that guards the realms of men. I pledge my life and honor to the Night's Watch, for this night and all the nights to come."

"An imperfect man can do great deeds, and a great man imperfect ones.

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what's a good place for the deposit box?

I could see it being rather useful at LRM concentrated rocks, being able to bank your ores instead of dropping them.

 

porters..............

 

Porters cost money though, and some people on RS are stubborn...

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I won a fully golden Armadyl outfit, with only 1 ticket used =D!

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Won darts with 10 or so tickets. Got 10 snap seeds, 30 snap herbs, and 10 yew seeds. Bah.

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[hide=Drops]Araxxor Eye x1 Leg pieces x2
GWD: 5000 Addy bar Steam B Staff x3 Z Spear x6 Sara. Hilt x2 Bandos Hilt x2 (LS, Solo)SS x6 (1 LS)
Tormented Demons: Shard x6 Slice x5 Claws x9 Limbs x3
DKS: Archer x21 Warrior x31 Berserker x30 Axe x51[/hide]

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First week I got Golden Bandos Warpriest (trollll) and Silverhawk Boots

This week I got Golden Zamorak Warpriest, which is what I wanted :) the boots are actually Golden Saradomin Warpriest though -.-

Going to do 1 ticket each GP/SH Feathers day but save the rest of them for Godswords now.

 

Also winning raffle tickets through TH now ffs knew they'd try to monetize this

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So far I've won a single portable bank because I just came back from 8 months of Irl-scape and forgot that Thursday night isn't actually Thursday night on Runescape.

 

 

Also winning raffle tickets through TH now ffs knew they'd try to monetize this

 

Isn't that paying for a chance to win a ticket to have a chance of winning darts which give you a chance at a rare boss drop? You have to jump through so many hoops it seems like it wouldn't matter at all.

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So far I've won a single portable bank because I just came back from 8 months of Irl-scape and forgot that Thursday night isn't actually Thursday night on Runescape.

 

 

Also winning raffle tickets through TH now ffs knew they'd try to monetize this

 

Isn't that paying for a chance to win a ticket to have a chance of winning darts which give you a chance at a rare boss drop? You have to jump through so many hoops it seems like it wouldn't matter at all.

Well, that or any of the other prizes, including the 100M on Mondays.

"Fight for what you believe in, and believe in what you're fighting for." Can games be art?

---

 

 

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My blog here if you want to check out my Times articles and other writings! I always appreciate comments/feedback.

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Won no boots with 14 tickets again. I think you've got the same chance of winning with 1 tickets as with 14 tickets.

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"Night gathers, and now my watch begins. It shall not end until my death. I shall take no wife, hold no lands, father no children. I shall wear no crowns and win no glory. I shall live and die at my post. I am the sword in the darkness. I am the watcher on the walls. I am the shield that guards the realms of men. I pledge my life and honor to the Night's Watch, for this night and all the nights to come."

"An imperfect man can do great deeds, and a great man imperfect ones.

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Used 19 tickets, got boots and feathers. The 250 feathers is worth almost 11m right now.

19509_s.gif

 

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Won no boots with 14 tickets again. I think you've got the same chance of winning with 1 tickets as with 14 tickets.

 

Nope, you have 14x as good a chance of winning.

 

The fact that you don't think so doesn't matter. All you have is your "hunch" that more tickets doesn't increase chance of winning, compared to the documentation which says the opposite.

 

Essentially, taking that stance is an ignorant and illogical one.

Stonewall337.png
[hide=Drops]Araxxor Eye x1 Leg pieces x2
GWD: 5000 Addy bar Steam B Staff x3 Z Spear x6 Sara. Hilt x2 Bandos Hilt x2 (LS, Solo)SS x6 (1 LS)
Tormented Demons: Shard x6 Slice x5 Claws x9 Limbs x3
DKS: Archer x21 Warrior x31 Berserker x30 Axe x51[/hide]

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If there are 20k items, 60k tickets applied and 14 of them are yours then...

 

60k divided by 14 is your chance at winning. Ideally you would also include the amount of possible draws right?



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If there are 20k items, 60k tickets applied and 14 of them are yours then...

 

60k divided by 14 is your chance at winning. Ideally you would also include the amount of possible draws right?

 

You need to know how many people entered multiple tickets too.

Stonewall337.png
[hide=Drops]Araxxor Eye x1 Leg pieces x2
GWD: 5000 Addy bar Steam B Staff x3 Z Spear x6 Sara. Hilt x2 Bandos Hilt x2 (LS, Solo)SS x6 (1 LS)
Tormented Demons: Shard x6 Slice x5 Claws x9 Limbs x3
DKS: Archer x21 Warrior x31 Berserker x30 Axe x51[/hide]

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If there are 20k items, 60k tickets applied and 14 of them are yours then...

 

60k divided by 14 is your chance at winning. Ideally you would also include the amount of possible draws right?

You need to know how many people entered multiple tickets too.

No that is redundant information as far as actually winning goes.



Maxed [February 14, 2012] | Completionist [October 25, 2012] | Trimmed Completionist [in Progress]

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If there are 20k items, 60k tickets applied and 14 of them are yours then...

 

60k divided by 14 is your chance at winning. Ideally you would also include the amount of possible draws right?

You need to know how many people entered multiple tickets too.

No that is redundant information as far as actually winning goes.

 

 

The number of tickets you enter matters because each one directly increases your chance of winning. However, each multiple ticket someone else enters does NOT do the same. If I enter 10 tickets and you enter 10 tickets, I increase my chance of winning by 10, but you only decrease my chance of not winning through your winning by 1. That is because although you may have more tickets, only 1 can win.

 

So if 20k people enter for 20k prizes, but everyone puts in 10 tickets, it'll show there being 200k tickets. But the chance of winning isn't 1/10, its 100%.

 

And you go from there. 5k prizes, you need to know how many people entered as well as how many tickets to determine odds.

 

Remember, no one can win more than once.

 

Since we can't know the total number of people, only tickets entered, it's going to be rough estimations. But take darts. 250k entered for 20k prizes, but odds weren't 20/250 to win. I entered 8 tickets, for example. If everyone entered 8 tickets, that would mean each ticket you entered would have a 20,000/31,250 chance to win. Better than 65%.

 

But again we cant know that variable.

Stonewall337.png
[hide=Drops]Araxxor Eye x1 Leg pieces x2
GWD: 5000 Addy bar Steam B Staff x3 Z Spear x6 Sara. Hilt x2 Bandos Hilt x2 (LS, Solo)SS x6 (1 LS)
Tormented Demons: Shard x6 Slice x5 Claws x9 Limbs x3
DKS: Archer x21 Warrior x31 Berserker x30 Axe x51[/hide]

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Except that I can put in 10 tickets and win 10 prizes. It's not limited to one prize per person; people have won multiple copies of the same prize on the same day by entering multiple tickets. If 20k people each enter 10 tickets, and 20k prizes are given out, 2000 of the 20k people who entered could each win 10 prizes while the other 18k get nothing (or, rather, get lamps).

 

I think the only variables that matter are the number of prizes given out, the total number of tickets entered, and the number of tickets you entered, but probability is not my strong suit.

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Except that I can put in 10 tickets and win 10 prizes. It's not limited to one prize per person; people have won multiple copies of the same prize on the same day by entering multiple tickets. If 20k people each enter 10 tickets, and 20k prizes are given out, 2000 of the 20k people who entered could each win 10 prizes while the other 18k get nothing (or, rather, get lamps).

 

I think the only variables that matter are the number of prizes given out, the total number of tickets entered, and the number of tickets you entered, but probability is not my strong suit.

 

I'm going to need to see screenshots before I give any credence to that claim, since based on the statement by Jagex you can't win more than once per person.

 

Not saying there isn't a bug, it's possible, but I've seen no evidence of it, and until I do I'm going to have to base this off the information we have, which is you can only win once.

 

Quote from the FAQ on multiple wins:

 

No. Using multiple tickets for a daily raffle will give you a greater chance of winning, but you will only ever win one prize from a day's raffle.

Stonewall337.png
[hide=Drops]Araxxor Eye x1 Leg pieces x2
GWD: 5000 Addy bar Steam B Staff x3 Z Spear x6 Sara. Hilt x2 Bandos Hilt x2 (LS, Solo)SS x6 (1 LS)
Tormented Demons: Shard x6 Slice x5 Claws x9 Limbs x3
DKS: Archer x21 Warrior x31 Berserker x30 Axe x51[/hide]

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Mod Pips has said it is unlikely that JMods will be handing out tickets today due to internal network issues so you'll need to do a daily challenge to get your second ticket instead.

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"Unfortunately, the real world isn't the same as a fairy tale."


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Mod Pips has said it is unlikely that JMods will be handing out tickets today due to internal network issues so you'll need to do a daily challenge to get your second ticket instead.

 

 

The context of what he meant by 'today' is debatable - the issue reared it's head for the 8pm event and then he said that at around 9pm.

Given that context "todays" could of easily just meant the 12am and 4am ones that rounded off that round of jmod events, with "tomorrow" being the 10am onwards ones

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Except that I can put in 10 tickets and win 10 prizes. It's not limited to one prize per person; people have won multiple copies of the same prize on the same day

That wasn't supposed to happen though :o.  Have there been glitches?

 

Edit: at above, Mod Simon is there handing out tickets now, looks like it's been resolved I guess.

"Fight for what you believe in, and believe in what you're fighting for." Can games be art?

---

 

 

cWCZMZO.png

l1M6sfb.png

My blog here if you want to check out my Times articles and other writings! I always appreciate comments/feedback.

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